{
  "slug": "anthropic-model-autonomously-hack-external-entity-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will an Anthropic model autonomously hack an external entity in 2026?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.3834,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-27T09:55:01.853Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.383393105826624,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/BenAybar/will-an-anthropic-model-autonomousl",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-27T09:55:01.853Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-22T16:26:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-22T16:27:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3717472118959109
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-22T22:02:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3526269297631638
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-22T22:22:02.869Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3679811933730364
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T13:06:02.873Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3227839379019021
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T13:45:02.873Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3540770493762059
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-24T01:00:02.873Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.36330424353074525
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-25T12:05:17.016Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.383393105826624
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}