{
  "slug": "any-frontier-ai-company-states-ai-fully-managed-1m-training-run-27",
  "canonical_title": "Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.2782,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-18T05:25:30.640Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.2782146684298538,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/HaukeHillebrandt/any-frontier-ai-company-states-ai-f",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-18T05:25:30.640Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-14T19:00:27.322Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-14T20:54:27.319Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3070110973583453
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-15T02:04:29.616Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2782146684298538
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}