{
  "slug": "any-lab-get-c-grade-existential-safety-flis-winter-2026-ai-safety-index",
  "canonical_title": "Will any lab get a C grade for existential safety in the FLI's Winter 2026  AI Safety Index scorecard?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.4447,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-13T00:25:55.616Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.44469909922818446,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-any-lab-get-a-c-grade-for-exis",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-13T00:25:55.616Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-08T17:01:19.877Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-08T18:32:19.874Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5475113122171946
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-08T20:00:19.941Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5820096973750208
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T21:25:51.236Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4768336383461365
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-12T15:18:21.233Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.44469909922818446
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}