{
  "slug": "combined-net-worth-greg-brockman-dario-amodei-exceed-elon-musk-before-one-them",
  "canonical_title": "Will the combined net worth of Greg Brockman and Dario Amodei exceed that of Elon Musk, before one of them dies?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.338,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-08T20:00:19.941Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.33798535940140784,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/realTomBayes/will-the-combined-net-worth-of-greg",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-08T20:00:19.941Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-05T18:56:05.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.07
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-05T20:09:05.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.24678148230601135
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-05T20:15:05.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.44003276361141147
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-05T21:20:05.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.284306239289913
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-06T21:55:05.306Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5731957908247529
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-06T22:29:05.305Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.33798535940140784
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}