{
  "slug": "crimean-bridge-damaged-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will the Crimean bridge be damaged in 2026?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.76,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-26T19:16:08.056Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.76,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/KrilariaSpace/will-the-crimean-bridge-be-damaged",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-26T19:16:08.056Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T06:33:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T07:42:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45248868778280565
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T08:11:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4799999999999999
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T08:12:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.52
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T08:37:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5655007477776176
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T09:48:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6300000000000001
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T09:53:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.68
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T11:11:08.058Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.7081610652265822
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-24T05:33:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.76
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}