{
  "slug": "democrat-win-2028-presidential-election",
  "canonical_title": "Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "consensus_probability": 0.6,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-02T22:25:04.842Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.58,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JasonMendoza2008/will-a-democrat-win-the-2028-presid-UUEQUAtdIP",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-02T15:03:04.838Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JasonMendoza2008/will-a-democrat-win-the-2028-presid-gIAICsIIdL",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-02T22:25:04.842Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-01T16:23:04.839Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.58
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}