{
  "slug": "do-not-surprised-if-lesswrong-gets-hacked-make-top-fifty-posts-lesswrongs-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will \"Do not be surprised if LessWrong gets hacked\" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1079,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-10T18:36:39.519Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-do-not-be-surprised-if-lesswro",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T18:36:39.519Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:17:03.208Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:17:10.680Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:18:10.679Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:19:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:20:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:21:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:22:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:23:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:24:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10794196668669175
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}