{
  "slug": "does-saudi-arabia-normalize-israel-before-december-31-2028",
  "canonical_title": "Does Saudi Arabia normalize with Israel before December 31 2028?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.3979,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-19T01:21:05.332Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.39794659556687534,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/PMattW/does-saudi-arabia-normalize-with-is",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-19T01:21:05.332Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-15T20:11:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-16T01:51:05.335Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.490099980396001
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-16T13:12:05.333Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4179903026249794
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-16T20:27:05.332Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39794659556687534
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}