{
  "slug": "elon-musk-worth-more-than-1-trillion-june-12th-ipo-date-spacex",
  "canonical_title": "Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1412,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-26T16:30:08.055Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.45832682948087994,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/ZandaZhu/will-elon-musk-be-worth-less-than-1",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-14T17:58:05.334Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.59,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-0NP2np8IpE",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-10T16:16:54.481Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.14120092843542784,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/OnlySlides/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-2-EUStcIS0Qg",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-26T16:30:08.055Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-10T21:13:54.476Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-10T21:14:54.476Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4756242568370988
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-10T21:15:54.475Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5255054281748639
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-10T22:36:54.474Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5125402643050387
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-10T22:42:54.475Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5362838839797845
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-11T00:52:54.475Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4392442617856219
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-11T03:54:54.476Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.32958387631175656
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-11T10:30:54.475Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3938943367037305
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-11T11:24:54.476Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.422963394759521
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-11T12:10:54.477Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4026457377451775
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T00:19:09.280Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.44360945777492783
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T02:23:10.191Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45727962905623937
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T04:41:52.646Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.46266251721651735
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T06:52:52.648Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.48883602454045527
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T10:17:52.646Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5374444639167909
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T18:11:52.649Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5112660056979969
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T18:36:52.648Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5790254152627218
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T19:44:52.647Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5676829789396339
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-12T20:32:52.648Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4887952325286348
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-14T13:36:52.650Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45832682948087994
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}