{
  "slug": "falcon-launch-more-times-2028-than-2027",
  "canonical_title": "Will Falcon launch more times in 2028 than 2027?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.4265,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 2,
  "spread_pp": 1.45,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-18T05:13:42.721Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.43371562513121004,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/will-falcon-launch-more-times-in-20-cPScqlNlpS",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-18T05:13:42.721Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.41919193685189715,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/will-falcon-launch-more-times-in-20",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-18T05:13:42.721Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-17T23:13:42.950Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-17T23:18:43.180Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4524886877828054
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-18T01:42:43.024Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.47912743082833775
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-18T04:48:42.956Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.43371562513121004
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}