{
  "slug": "france-argentina-england-spain-win-2030-world-cup",
  "canonical_title": "Will France or Argentina or England or Spain win the 2030 world cup?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.522,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-29T21:51:48.861Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5219770608671163,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JasonMendoza2008/will-france-or-argentina-or-england",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-29T21:51:48.861Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.25207212625241016,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JasonMendoza2008/will-france-or-argentina-win-the-20",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-29T19:39:48.864Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-25T18:29:16.992Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.49
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-25T19:55:16.996Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4950755249983976
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-26T02:27:16.996Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5219770608671163
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}