{
  "slug": "gpt-5-6-outperforms-claude-fable-5-frontiermath-tier-4",
  "canonical_title": "GPT-5.6 Outperforms Claude Fable 5 on FrontierMath Tier 4?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.3374,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-24T04:10:08.055Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.3374470916537108,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JaundicedBaboon/will-gpt56-outperform-claude-fable",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-24T04:10:08.055Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T00:02:05.561Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T01:49:05.561Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3076923076923077
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T03:13:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.532224532224532
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T11:35:37.535Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39503734337386565
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T21:26:38.115Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45193790083436713
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-21T10:36:37.629Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3713078801744184
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T14:41:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3374470916537108
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}