{
  "slug": "hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-exceed-6500-usd-kg-december-31-2030",
  "canonical_title": "Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.5185,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 18,
  "spread_pp": 9.38,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-NCsUtqdnCE",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.47562425683709864,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-PszyEqNsEu",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-qUZ6lQCgZp",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-Ozq6yUsEQ2",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-CugdIsL8C5",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-z0n0cEus95",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-SLChL2US0z",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-hg5Sqhsysy",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-05q9gNZSSy",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-UspEplLPq0",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-gR2szQcCNd",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-p6Ss5Ih8lh",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.4988109410390764,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-QuSt5s8Rqz",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-dAdQRt98Nt",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.47562425683709864,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-500tc50z55",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.47562425683709864,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-EgcAuRN858",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-CA2zhUuc0h",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hafnium-unwrought-metal-price-gsq2u055Q8",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:12:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}