{
  "slug": "if-andy-burnham-loses-makerfield-election-contest-another-election-before-2029",
  "canonical_title": "If Andy Burnham loses the Makerfield by election, will be contest another by election before 2029?",
  "category": "politics",
  "consensus_probability": 0.4525,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-05-17T05:40:47.112Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.4524886877828053,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Jack1/if-andy-burnham-loses-the-makerfiel-Eg9tZSIRzl",
      "fetched_at": "2026-05-17T05:40:47.112Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-05-17T03:54:45.984Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-05-17T05:40:47.112Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4524886877828053
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}