{
  "slug": "individualised-ransomware-campaign-materially-harm-100k-people-9-april-2027",
  "canonical_title": "Will an individualised ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.3274,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-12T20:25:35.116Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.32741973134663094,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/distbit/will-an-individualised-ransomware-c",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-12T20:25:35.116Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:17:03.208Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:17:10.680Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:18:10.679Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:19:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:20:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:21:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:22:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:23:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:24:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31000000000000016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T06:04:10.656Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3257011510381338
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}