{
  "slug": "iranian-warship-destroyed-ports-blockade-before-april-30th",
  "canonical_title": "Will a Iranian warship be destroyed in the ports blockade  before April 30th",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.43,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-16T23:15:06.191Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.42999999999999994,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Meek/will-a-iranian-warship-be-destroyed",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-16T23:15:06.191Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-14T01:21:59.709Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8581882126042318
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-14T01:45:27.695Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.708314714469866
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-14T16:43:27.321Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4557676722694881
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-14T18:24:27.322Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.42999999999999994
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}