{
  "slug": "ivory-billed-woodpecker-rediscovered-end-2030",
  "canonical_title": "Will the Ivory Billed Woodpecker be rediscovered by the end of 2030?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.3902,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-12T16:28:51.307Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.3901577766063343,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-the-ivory-billed-woodpecker-be",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-12T16:28:51.307Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T01:17:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T02:31:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.47562425683709864
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T02:32:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5255054281748637
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T02:46:59.189Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.47551679019886894
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T03:17:59.193Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3901577766063343
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}