{
  "slug": "james-fishback-get-second-florida-republican-primary-governor",
  "canonical_title": "Will James Fishback get second in the Florida Republican primary for governor?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.2705,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-18T03:49:43.148Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.27045970916544254,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-james-fishback-get-second-in-t",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-18T03:49:43.148Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T08:58:34.442Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T10:30:40.450Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39210572024450313
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T10:35:36.581Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.40113047113070616
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T12:02:34.857Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3003713179180645
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T18:00:44.980Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.27392938569620506
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T20:03:38.052Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2864342799028557
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-13T23:51:36.258Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.30522471055949996
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-14T00:06:34.147Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2918960343706011
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-15T12:32:05.393Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.30118335761447673
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-15T12:47:05.392Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.29323627091785004
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-17T00:58:05.394Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3230753778436517
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-17T19:07:43.228Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.27045970916544254
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}