{
  "slug": "lewandowski-score-first-match-playing-chicago-fire",
  "canonical_title": "Lewandowski to score in first match playing for Chicago Fire?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.4125,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-13T16:18:19.461Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.41249340857355343,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/UniversalFC/lewandowski-to-score-in-first-match",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-13T16:18:19.461Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T05:35:51.723Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T07:26:50.021Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4756242568370988
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T07:29:49.525Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4188158902099275
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T09:36:49.841Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39872662664514646
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T11:31:49.140Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4045930836385615
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T17:59:49.133Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4104157020892234
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T18:02:49.276Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4161937159451848
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-09T21:27:49.221Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.35964267455059024
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T06:20:49.546Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.37
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T07:02:50.024Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3760640869000197
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T23:18:48.837Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3940165451380933
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-11T04:30:48.734Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.41304939607961133
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-11T21:19:21.179Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4199529296106686
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-12T02:20:21.232Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39000502277475235
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-12T02:30:21.835Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4133065819193585
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}