{
  "slug": "lionel-messi-get-another-hat-trick-2026-world-cup",
  "canonical_title": "Will Lionel Messi get another hat trick at the 2026 World Cup?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1594,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-21T20:03:37.630Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.15941798750286226,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-lionel-messi-get-another-hat-t",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-21T20:03:37.630Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T21:18:05.335Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T21:40:05.333Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.22862463055229085
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T01:11:05.333Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.15933527174563172
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T01:34:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.20353786842113353
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T02:30:05.336Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.1325584840246161
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T16:05:05.339Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.15941798750286226
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}