{
  "slug": "lionel-messi-won-more-ballon-dor-awards-than-cristiano-ronaldo",
  "canonical_title": "Has Lionel Messi won more Ballon d'Or awards than Cristiano Ronaldo?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.9615,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-17T21:00:05.354Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.9615384615384617,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/TarasCarmickle/has-lionel-messi-won-more-ballon-do",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-17T21:00:05.354Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T18:03:05.333Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T18:23:05.332Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6923076923076923
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T18:36:05.332Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.9
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T19:18:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.9615384615384617
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}