{
  "slug": "lockheed-martin-deliver-more-than-190-f-35-aircraft-2029",
  "canonical_title": "Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.5909,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 12,
  "spread_pp": 28.83,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-QAPdy9zA2u",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-NqpshCR2N6",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6776792908944399,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-5cphu6CZCn",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6776792908944399,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-U90pz8gcCL",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-IqCCpp6Eyt",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6097560975609755,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-9UEO8u2Eq8",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.42955661186004845,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-USpqs90ZLA",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-AQ2lgNAq9P",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5640496172198171,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-lqlgR9hs5S",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-2yLlE5gEn0",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-ZI2huCdIlE",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.38933865400065315,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-lockheed-martin-deliver-more-t-ggRCqgElQC",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:17:03.208Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:17:10.680Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:18:10.679Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:19:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:20:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:21:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:22:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:23:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:24:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T04:23:10.673Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6621621621621621
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}