{
  "slug": "magic-gathering-movie-make-over-450-million-global-box-office",
  "canonical_title": "Will the Magic the Gathering movie make over 450 million at the global box office?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1248,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-12T16:28:51.307Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.12480420942995134,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/asmith/will-the-magic-the-gathering-movie",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-12T16:28:51.307Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T14:43:59.192Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T14:45:59.192Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45248868778280543
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T14:53:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4098360655737705
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T15:27:59.189Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.43999999999999995
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T16:08:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.36179605411909954
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T18:39:59.189Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2739066083296753
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T02:09:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.19556455130663597
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T03:51:59.191Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.17000000000000007
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T04:08:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.11987593832506026
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T11:59:51.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.12563306795394405
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}