{
  "slug": "may-1st-2028-highest-grossing-movie-all-time-usa-star-wars-film",
  "canonical_title": "On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.85,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-27T22:24:01.852Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.8499999999999999,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/strutheo/on-may-1st-2028-will-the-highest-gr",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-27T22:24:01.852Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T18:44:02.874Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3999999999999999
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T20:27:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4546118472021185
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T21:18:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.35000000000000003
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T21:21:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6401610237932194
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T21:32:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.30000000000000004
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-23T21:33:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3211000982710529
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-24T00:33:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3999999999999999
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-24T01:08:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6341235742577195
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-24T06:29:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8654223109419109
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-24T06:32:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8362949560768298
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-24T09:55:02.874Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8499999999999999
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}