{
  "slug": "mitch-mcconnell-resign-die-before-end-his-term-2027",
  "canonical_title": "Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.4336,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-01T19:47:04.838Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.43358576341152927,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JasonMendoza2008/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-or-die-qLRCOpt5IO",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-01T19:47:04.838Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-01T16:23:04.839Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.46
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-01T17:54:04.840Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.43358576341152927
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}