{
  "slug": "movie-win-best-musical-academy-award-before-end-may-2033",
  "canonical_title": "Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2033?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.3985,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-01T05:23:08.056Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.39847422575413793,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-a-movie-win-the-best-musical-a-E56PnluSAC",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-01T05:23:08.056Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.3965964337077886,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-a-movie-win-the-best-musical-a",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-01T03:23:08.057Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T20:45:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T21:10:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45999999999999996
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T21:11:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5000000000000003
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T23:56:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45248868778280554
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-27T15:31:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4103820412374724
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-29T15:35:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39847422575413793
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}