{
  "slug": "myanmars-civil-war-end-before-eoy-2027",
  "canonical_title": "Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.2462,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-13T00:21:35.173Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.24615384615384622,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Xiphias/will-myanmars-civil-war-end-before",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-13T00:21:35.173Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T23:15:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-10T23:30:59.190Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4098360655737705
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T00:31:59.348Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3378378378378378
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T02:22:59.191Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.30769230769230776
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T07:21:51.305Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2808988764044945
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T07:24:51.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.30769230769230776
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T23:43:51.304Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.24615384615384622
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}