{
  "slug": "nasdaq-composite-close-15-below-august-3-2026-close-december-31-2026-12-31-26",
  "canonical_title": "Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1955,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
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  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-06T08:14:04.840Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.19546141723378616,
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      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Web3ICP/will-the-nasdaq-composite-close-15",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-06T08:14:04.840Z"
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  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T14:44:04.840Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45
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    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T15:03:04.854Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3700122095487307
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      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-04T00:30:04.843Z",
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  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}