{
  "slug": "new-frontiermath-open-problem-solved-ai-before-august-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will a new FrontierMath Open Problem be solved by AI before August 2026?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.46,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-24T17:23:08.056Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.46000000000000013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JaundicedBaboon/will-a-new-frontiermath-open-proble",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-24T17:23:08.056Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T16:50:37.541Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T18:28:37.540Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5475113122171946
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-21T13:44:37.519Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.52
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T13:30:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.46000000000000013
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}