{
  "slug": "putin-lose-his-position-president-russia-before-end-his-term-may-6-2030",
  "canonical_title": "Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?",
  "category": "politics",
  "consensus_probability": 0.46,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-24T17:59:08.057Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.4599999999999998,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/DrewReynolds/will-putin-lose-his-position-as-pre",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-24T17:59:08.057Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T19:56:38.031Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T20:39:37.937Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.39024390243902446
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T21:15:37.545Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4564622457742491
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-21T06:22:37.518Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4133929830366716
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-21T09:55:37.533Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4599999999999998
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}