{
  "slug": "restore-uk-reform-uk-merge-closely-cooperate-before-end-next-election",
  "canonical_title": "Will Restore UK and Reform UK merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "consensus_probability": 0.64,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-06T08:03:04.839Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6399999999999999,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/sahaj/will-restore-uk-and-reform-uk-merge",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-06T08:03:04.839Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-02T18:10:04.839Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.7641509433962262
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-02T23:43:04.840Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6994214661946286
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T19:36:04.841Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6399999999999999
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}