{
  "slug": "rider-alpecin-premier-tech-finish-within-15-seconds-tadej-pogacar-stage-1-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will a rider from Alpecin - Premier Tech finish within 15 seconds of Tadej Pogacar in Stage 1 of the 2026 Tour de France",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.2956,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-04T11:05:05.303Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.29563724068722824,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Eliza/will-a-rider-from-alpecin-premier-t-cttZ2SNslZ",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-04T11:05:05.303Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.4012002231928557,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/Eliza/will-a-rider-from-alpecin-premier-t",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-04T11:00:05.307Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-01T03:25:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-01T03:28:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.40983606557377045
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-01T03:41:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.32232070910556004
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-01T04:19:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3597881165103411
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-01T11:16:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3032054067438814
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-02T07:22:18.316Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.29807849449323276
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}