{
  "slug": "spacex-vs-tesla-spacex-higher-market-cap-than-tesla-dec-31-2026",
  "canonical_title": "SpaceX vs Tesla - Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Tesla on Dec. 31, 2026?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.5717,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-01T16:16:04.840Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5716820978411983,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/spacex-vs-tesla-will-spacex-have-a",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-01T16:16:04.840Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-28T15:15:48.994Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-28T15:30:50.254Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-28T17:27:48.863Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5475113122171945
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-28T23:33:48.862Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5208725691716621
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-29T10:56:48.862Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5441892200868291
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-29T12:15:48.869Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.528148105453526
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-29T15:25:48.863Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5728145827852487
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}