{
  "slug": "stage-21-tour-de-france-won-sprint",
  "canonical_title": "Will Stage 21 of the Tour de France be won in a sprint?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.5606,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-26T01:56:16.994Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5606421392617333,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JPD/will-stage-21-of-the-tour-de-france",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-26T01:56:16.994Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T04:16:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6282527881040891
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T11:34:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6042827557009963
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T14:27:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6408310719003028
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T15:38:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5813266633852578
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T21:34:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6356972623111944
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T23:47:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5765418795793157
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-25T12:31:16.994Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5606421392617333
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}