{
  "slug": "starmer-out-end-week",
  "canonical_title": "Starmer out by the end of this week",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.0321,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-20T19:56:38.031Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.03211229793738778,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/rg26/starmer-out-by-the-end-of-this-week",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-20T19:56:38.031Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T04:02:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.29932054236882283
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T05:16:05.331Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2099252666050885
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T06:45:05.336Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10369571529304408
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T08:14:05.335Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.060519499382701125
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T08:43:05.331Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.11125289090708815
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T11:08:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.13395654801371318
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T12:49:05.335Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.1173410020852533
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T13:56:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.08684454668053108
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T14:10:05.439Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.06663341518884602
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T14:19:05.332Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.17916142399869128
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T14:36:05.335Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.166122609856959
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T15:10:05.442Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.1175073249874422
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T03:19:05.335Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.09884605790000171
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T10:00:06.145Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.09176254475970912
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T04:24:05.336Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.14865013919887454
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T07:40:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.10606336193028393
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T11:18:05.334Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.03311903495650647
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T15:39:05.561Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.0753319699682479
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T17:35:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.05872650736242541
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T21:12:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.13780077043212086
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T21:37:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.059999999999999956
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T21:52:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.05467494785024158
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T22:26:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.04698582789660752
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T05:55:05.560Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.01000000000000007
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T08:20:39.434Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.03047835884049767
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T09:35:37.536Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.0166816629328134
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T10:52:37.529Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.03119781071692655
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T14:37:37.529Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.02262511503822503
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-20T19:56:38.031Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.03211229793738778
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}