{
  "slug": "state-ai-safety-four-fake-graphs-make-top-fifty-posts-lesswrongs-2026-annual",
  "canonical_title": "Will \"The state of AI safety in four fake graphs\" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1488,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-18T04:24:48.605Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.14877819341988158,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-state-of-ai-safety-in-four",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-18T04:24:48.605Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-13T19:47:18.956Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.14
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-13T21:40:22.555Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.14877819341988158
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}