{
  "slug": "strait-hormuz-blockaded-during-year-peak-oil-reached",
  "canonical_title": "Will the Strait of Hormuz be blockaded during the year that peak oil is reached?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.2358,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-08-06T08:14:04.840Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.23584905660377367,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/SpeaksForTrees/will-the-strait-of-hormuz-be-blocka",
      "fetched_at": "2026-08-06T08:14:04.840Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-04T01:37:04.841Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-04T02:01:04.840Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.45248868778280543
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-04T03:05:04.842Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.28089887640449446
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-04T11:32:04.841Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.25706940874035994
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-08-04T17:41:04.839Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.23584905660377367
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}