{
  "slug": "surprising-facts-about-slave-trade-make-top-fifty-posts-lesswrongs-2026-annual",
  "canonical_title": "Will \"Surprising facts about the slave trade\" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1333,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-30T16:41:08.056Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.13330785091386185,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-surprising-facts-about-the-sla",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-30T16:41:08.056Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T12:50:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.14
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T15:57:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.13330785091386185
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}