{
  "slug": "synthetic-graphite-active-anode-material-aam-china-spot-price-exceed-4000-usd-t",
  "canonical_title": "Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on June 30, 2027?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.5676,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 24,
  "spread_pp": 4.51,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-cOU2pOEPQh",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-SNgSNP52gR",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-t8ttLIqC8O",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-Q2PPR0PIEn",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-hzE9ypE2Rd",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-AAlUSA0ngI",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-ESsdIzszsP",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-8OsuydZOdp",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-NZ589hZuzg",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-5nlPy8ACc6",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-L2OtSECLCP",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-cEh2uNu85y",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-ESyzLl5Sqd",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-USQScqQCCC",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-6nL6S0ZOu9",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5243757431629013,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-I5uqANqSEP",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-9yuOucOsN0",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-QtLO2ZIuqq",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-NnUuyLslCL",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-C2RdtunUEI",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-ySZyy9PpUQ",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-8SplnhlU6u",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-synthetic-graphite-active-anod-nAdAZz8nEq",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:12:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:13:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5694294940796555
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}