{
  "slug": "tadej-pogacar-start-2026-vuelta-espana",
  "canonical_title": "Will Tadej Pogacar start the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.6104,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-22T14:05:02.871Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.6103796494830406,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/RedzoneITG/will-tadej-pogacar-start-the-2026-v",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-22T14:05:02.871Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-17T18:43:48.604Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5475113122171946
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-17T18:46:48.604Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.44841387488882306
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-17T18:53:48.604Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.500819000269646
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T11:31:55.590Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5482490858144624
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T22:36:55.589Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6103796494830406
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}