{
  "slug": "trump-finish-his-second-term",
  "canonical_title": "Will Trump finish his second term?",
  "category": "politics",
  "consensus_probability": 0.8109,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-24T00:28:02.871Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.8108923555436541,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/JasonMendoza2008/will-trump-finish-his-second-term-d02CpIhtd6",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-24T00:28:02.871Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T12:07:55.591Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T13:17:55.590Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8233289665623454
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T14:49:55.590Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8510383166577591
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T14:50:55.591Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8223679337309763
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-19T23:04:55.590Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.849746282062608
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T09:19:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8610387916426184
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T18:22:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8261037385387154
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T18:24:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.8108923555436541
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}