{
  "slug": "uk-government-establish-dedicated-immigration-enforcement-agency-similar-us-ice",
  "canonical_title": "Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.2921,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-26T03:21:08.056Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.29212016320563317,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MichalPasiak/will-the-uk-government-establish-a",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-26T03:21:08.056Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T15:30:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.7679147207283022
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T15:34:08.059Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.7899036519157323
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T15:59:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.67
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T18:55:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.647201559539835
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T20:19:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6288071145140303
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T00:24:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5539614144361317
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T00:47:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5111423265016628
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T11:11:08.058Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3782982627546963
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T16:42:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.29606513634811016
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T18:19:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.27451125548571725
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-24T14:56:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.26493629077187164
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-25T08:58:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.24285823814291072
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-25T22:05:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.29212016320563317
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}