{
  "slug": "united-russia-gain-seats-2026-duma-elections",
  "canonical_title": "Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Duma Elections?",
  "category": "politics",
  "consensus_probability": 0.36,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-06-27T08:20:08.055Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.36000000000000004,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/RealAP/will-united-russia-gain-or-loose-se",
      "fetched_at": "2026-06-27T08:20:08.055Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T22:57:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.25483550368237295
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T23:22:08.055Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T23:31:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3300000000000001
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-24T00:17:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.38
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-24T10:17:08.058Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3978718771935065
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-24T11:03:08.057Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.25040291527618225
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-24T12:43:08.058Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.31490150357156615
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T19:02:08.056Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.36000000000000004
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}