{
  "slug": "us-doe-feoc-graphite-waiver-ira-7-500-ev-credit-active-december-31-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.575,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 2,
  "spread_pp": 55,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.85,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-the-us-doe-feoc-graphite-waive-05ZNCLuQSL",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    },
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.3,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-the-us-doe-feoc-graphite-waive",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.85
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:12:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.85
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:13:10.654Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.85
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}