{
  "slug": "us-government-nationalizes-openai-anthropic-before-2029",
  "canonical_title": "US government nationalizes OpenAI or Anthropic before 2029?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1629,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-25T16:32:17.001Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.16285984740538698,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/brod/us-government-nationalizes-openai-o",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-25T16:32:17.001Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T15:54:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.20000000000000012
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T16:48:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.19221528111484867
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T16:52:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2157687526743837
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T17:59:11.469Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.17273069265427055
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-20T20:57:11.468Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.1634326825059679
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T04:27:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.15754300357458986
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T12:03:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.22087565488114927
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T12:27:02.869Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.19999999999999993
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T13:08:02.871Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.18999999999999995
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T15:29:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.17999999999999997
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T15:47:02.870Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.17015718558451007
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T15:50:02.878Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.1580129812718244
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-21T16:48:02.872Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.16480019100168794
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}