{
  "slug": "us-impose-new-tariffs-spain-end-july-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will US impose new tariffs on Spain by end of July  2026?",
  "category": "science",
  "consensus_probability": 0.253,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-07-14T22:13:18.458Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.2530399192818829,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/subhamsingh/will-us-impose-new-tariffs-on-spain",
      "fetched_at": "2026-07-14T22:13:18.458Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T05:54:48.818Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5608063595239142
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T06:02:49.628Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.7006794576311773
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T06:17:48.839Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.6256064980933715
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T07:15:52.348Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5671609850149814
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T08:09:49.132Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.5133768610125039
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T09:14:48.734Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4645532550364867
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T13:10:50.533Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4305610362347324
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T16:49:48.826Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.4001134691331136
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-10T16:51:48.623Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.3700000000000001
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-11T17:18:00.238Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.32564116949273175
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-12T15:18:21.233Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2914910745350978
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-13T17:27:19.251Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.27637127240116616
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-07-13T19:24:19.164Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.2530399192818829
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}