{
  "slug": "us-suffer-1000-confirmed-combat-deaths-iran-2026",
  "canonical_title": "Will the US suffer 1000 confirmed combat deaths in Iran in 2026?",
  "category": "other",
  "consensus_probability": 0.1487,
  "total_volume_usd": 0,
  "platform_count": 1,
  "market_count": 1,
  "spread_pp": 0,
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z",
  "markets": [
    {
      "platform": "manifold",
      "probability_yes": 0.14865377659971163,
      "volume_usd": null,
      "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/will-the-us-suffer-1000-confirmed-c",
      "fetched_at": "2026-04-10T02:15:10.655Z"
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:11:10.675Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.14865377659971163
    },
    {
      "snapshot_at": "2026-04-10T02:12:10.655Z",
      "probability_yes": 0.14865377659971163
    }
  ],
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "source": "https://beeks.ai"
}