2026 FIFA World Cup: Will there be exactly 6 or 7 knockout matches ending 3–0?

7% Consensus YES
Platforms 1
Total Volume $0
Cross-platform spread 0.0 pp
Resolves 2026-07-19
manifold 7% manifold 21%
Platform Yes No Volume Last seen Link
Manifold 7.3% 92.7% 22:28 UTC View →
Manifold 20.6% 79.4% 20:01 UTC View →
No history yet — first few snapshots pending.
Probability history, most recent 30 days

What do these odds mean?

As of 2026-06-23 22:28 UTC, prediction markets are pricing 2026 FIFA World Cup: Will there be exactly 6 or 7 knockout matches ending 3–0? at 7%. The highest reading is 7.3% on manifold, while the lowest is 7.3% on manifold — a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.

How to read cross-platform spreads

When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.

About this data

Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.

Last updated: 2026-06-23 22:28:08 UTC · Download JSON

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