Will Brent Crude Oil close above $120 on April 15th, 2026?

60% Consensus YES
Platforms 1
Total Volume $0
Cross-platform spread 0.0 pp
Resolves 2026-05-15
manifold 16% manifold 72% manifold 45% manifold 99% manifold 45% manifold 60%
Platform Yes No Volume Last seen Link
Manifold 16.3% 83.7% 05:25 UTC View →
Manifold 72.0% 28.1% 02:23 UTC View →
Manifold 45.0% 55.0% 02:15 UTC View →
Manifold 99.0% 1.0% 15:33 UTC View →
Manifold 45.2% 54.8% 19:31 UTC View →
Manifold 60.4% 39.6% 20:13 UTC View →
No history yet — first few snapshots pending.
Probability history, most recent 30 days

What do these odds mean?

As of 2026-05-13 20:13 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will Brent Crude Oil close above $120 on April 15th, 2026? at 60%. The highest reading is 60.4% on manifold, while the lowest is 60.4% on manifold — a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.

How to read cross-platform spreads

When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.

About this data

Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.

Last updated: 2026-05-13 20:13:01 UTC · Download JSON

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