Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro?

45% Consensus YES
Platforms 1
Total Volume $0
Cross-platform spread 87.5 pp
Resolves 2026-10-07
manifold 89% manifold 1% manifold 67% manifold 45%
Platform Yes No Volume Last seen Link
Manifold 88.5% 11.5% 23:47 UTC View →
Manifold 1.0% 99.0% 23:47 UTC View →
Manifold 66.7% 33.3% 13:24 UTC View →
Manifold 44.8% 55.2% 14:10 UTC View →
Probability history, most recent 30 days

What do these odds mean?

As of 2026-08-17 23:47 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro? at 45%. The highest reading is 88.5% on manifold, while the lowest is 1.0% on manifold — a spread of 87.5 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.

How to read cross-platform spreads

When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.

About this data

Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.

Last updated: 2026-08-17 23:47:42 UTC · Download JSON

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